High level Fight Ending analysis (Finish vs. Decision)

98% of all MMA fights end with some kind of Win. Fights that do not end with a Win are Draws and No Contest.

 

MMA bout can end with:

    1. Finish (Submission or Strikes),
    2. Decision (Judges' Decision),
    3. Other End (DQ or No Contest)

 

 

74% of all MMA fights end with a Finish (one fighter winning before the end of the fight).
24% of all fights go to a Decision.

The rest are the fights that end as DQ, No Contest or method is N/A.

 

 

When we take into consideration only UFC fights  (all UFC fights since 1993), then we have a 57% / 41% split between Finish and Decision.

 

 

 

 

 

Following graph shows how this Finish to Decision ratio was changing historically (using 4 year periods):

    

 

There is a small but constant increase in the number of Decisions.

 

 

In the UFC, number of Decisions was increasing much faster:

   

 

In the early UFC years (1996-1999) the split was 78.4% / 21.6% .

In the last two years UFC fights almost equally end in a Finish or go to a Decision:

 

 

If we take into consideration only fights from the best fighters (fighter rating > 18, includes UFC and non-UFC fighters), and only fights from the last couple of years, then percentage of Decisions is 40% :

 

 

 

Percentage of fights that are ending with a Decision is increasing as the fighters rating increases:

 

   

Decision percentage increase constantly over years, but the fastest increase is for UFC fighters and fighters with the high rating (Rtg 18).

 

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Following several lists show fighters with the most Finishes and the best Finish percentage.

Finish percentage = "number of win finishes" / "number of wins"

 

Here are the fighters with the most Finishes:

End Method - Finish - rating>=4 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsFinishPercentage
20Travis Fulton25224496.8
28Jeremy Horn917986.8
22Dan Severn1017776.2
19Ikuhisa Minowa605083.3
8Shannon Ritch525096.2
20Luis Santos604676.7
22Travis Wiuff734561.6
18Adrian Serrano564580.4
26Igor Vovchanchyn554581.8
22Alexey Oleinik504590.0
9Dennis Reed454497.8
4Bryan Robinson4444100.0
   

Here are the notable fighters (rating>=24) with the high number of Finishes: 

End Method - Finish - rating>=24 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsFinishPercentage
28Jeremy Horn917986.8
26Igor Vovchanchyn554581.8
24Joe Doerksen514384.3
24Alexander Shlemenko523873.1
24Masakatsu Funaki393897.4
25Yuki Kondo593661.0
28Alistair Overeem403690.0
32Matt Hughes453577.8
25Ben Rothwell363391.7
24Miguel Torres433274.4
30Gegard Mousasi373286.5
25Paul Daley383078.9
   

Notable fighters (rating>=18) with the high Finish percentage:

End Method - Finish - rating>=18 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsFinishPercentage
23Gilbert Yvel3838100.0
18Soa Palelei2222100.0
19Ryan Jensen2121100.0
20Scott Smith1717100.0
20Rory Markham1515100.0
19Rafael Cavalcante1212100.0
28Ronda Rousey1212100.0
19Shane Carwin1212100.0
18Rickson Gracie1111100.0
19Amanda Nunes1111100.0
18Kyle Jensen414097.6
24Masakatsu Funaki393897.4
20Travis Fulton25224496.8
23Joe Lauzon252496.0
  

Exceptional fighters (rating>=28) with the high Finish percentage:

End Method - Finish - rating>=28 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsFinishPercentage
28Ronda Rousey1212100.0
29Carlos Condit302893.3
29Mirko Filipovic312890.3
28Alistair Overeem403690.0
31Mauricio Rua232087.0
28Jeremy Horn917986.8
29Luke Rockhold151386.7
30Gegard Mousasi373286.5
30Rich Franklin292586.2
29Cain Velasquez131184.6
30Vitor Belfort252184.0
28Anthony Pettis181583.3
31Josh Barnett342882.4
29Junior dos Santos171482.4
29Ronaldo Souza221881.8
30B.J. Penn161381.3
  

 

Notable fighters (rating>=18) with the high Decision Win percentage:

End Method - Decision - rating>=18 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsDecisionPercentage
19Tecia Torres77100.0
19Seo Hee Ham161487.5
18Bruno Santos141285.7
24Gray Maynard11981.8
19Atsushi Yamamoto181477.8
18Bethe Correia9777.8
20Yasuhiro Urushitani211676.2
19Izuru Takeuchi251976.0
18Eiji Ishikawa282175.0
23Mitsuhiro Ishida201575.0
18Ryota Matsune161275.0
23Antonio McKee292172.4
22Takeya Mizugaki211571.4
19Justin Wilcox141071.4
20Chris Cariaso171270.6
21Marcos Galvao171270.6
19Kenji Osawa201470.0
19Barb Honchak10770.0
  

Top fighters (rating>=26) with the high Decision Win percentage:

End Method - Decision - rating>=26 - //ScoreCardMMA.com
Ftr RatingFighter NameAll WinsDecisionPercentage
27Ricardo Arona14964.3
29Jon Fitch271763.0
32Dominick Cruz211361.9
27Chael Sonnen281657.1
30Rashad Evans191052.6
29Bibiano Fernandes191052.6
31Jake Shields311651.6
32Lyoto Machida221150.0
27Ryan Bader201050.0
34Frankie Edgar201050.0